Mar 26, 2008 12:47
William Lind is warning about what he expects is an imminent attack on Iran that consequently could wipe out the entire US army in Iraq.
"Here’s roughly how it might play out. In response to American air and missile strikes on military targets inside Iran, Iran moves to cut the supply lines coming up from the south through the Persian Gulf (can anyone in the Pentagon guess why it’s called that?) and Kuwait on which most U.S. Army units in Iraq depend (the Marines get most of their stuff through Jordan). It does so by hitting shipping in the Gulf, mining key choke points, and destroying the port facilities we depend on, mostly through sabotage. It also hits oil production and export facilities in the Gulf region, as a decoy."
"Simultaneously, Iran activates the Shiite militias to cut the roads that lead from Kuwait to Baghdad. Both the Mahdi Army and the Badr Brigades."
"Once they are largely immobilized by lack of fuel, and the region gets some bad weather that keeps our aircraft grounded or at least blind, Iran sends two to four regular army armor and mech divisions across the border. Their objective is to pocket American forces in and around Baghdad."
Left out is the simultaneous attack in the north by Hizzbolah and Syria, both on Israel and within Iraq, and Hamas from the south. If Israel declared itself independent and sovereign, they could probably survive with divine help and even rescue the US forces.
http://www.d-n-i.net/dni/2008/03/25/on-war-255-operation-cassandra/#more-152