The chances of a declared state of emergency and ensuing dictatorship prior to the 2010 elections: 25%
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The chances of a declared state of emergency and ensuing dictatorship prior to the 2012 elections: 50%
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The chances of the U.S. dollar becoming worthless within three years: 25%
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The chances of the U.S. dollar becoming worthless within ten years: 90%
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The chances of the Republicans cutting back on major entitlements if they regain power in the 2010 elections: Zero
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The chances of the Republicans cutting back on major entitlements if they win the presidency and an overwhelming majority in Congress in 2012: 5%
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The chances of the so-called tea-party people (i.e., everyday Americans who believe in liberty) winning out over the long haul: Hmm … let me procrastinate on that one a bit before I lay odds.
Tuesday, April 6, 2010
Ringer: And here’s my odds based on what I know and see today